马斯克收购推特引发了一场关于言论自由的大讨论。无独有偶，中国超级富豪二代王思聪因为微博上的一些评论，几乎被全网封杀。很多人开始调侃。王思聪为什么不买微博？
如果买微博就能实现言论自由，那自由太便宜了。我觉得中国人随便筹钱买微博控制权应该不难。但问题是，中国的言论环境与美国完全不同。美国法律规定政府不能有媒体。因此，所有的媒体和互联网公司都掌握在企业家手中。那就是中国话语体系中常用的“资本”。
然后，这些资本慢慢形成了价值联盟，开始打压保守派的声音。因此，严格来说，美国失去的不是言论自由，而是思想自由。是进步的左派压制了保守的右派。现在马斯克收购推特，无异于给保守派一个在社交媒体上自由表达自己的地方，从而重新平衡左右阵营。
在中国，情况就完全不同了。媒体的声音几乎完全掌握在政府手中。社交媒体似乎对用户的言论有绝对的控制权，但本质上仍然是为政府服务的。因此，王思聪不仅被微博封禁，他的抖音账号也被注销。据说微信朋友圈也被关闭了，整个人从网上消失了。
但回头一看，他并没有说太多。指点央视数据错误，转发质疑一个中药，你能说什么罪？如果没有这种基本的言论自由，人们就会害怕。这也是为什么每年都有那么多富豪偷偷移民离开中国的原因。
公共野心应该是社会精英的终极理想。如果一个人在事业上取得了巨大的成功，却不允许改善社会，就只能在个人欲望的深渊中无限堕落。买飞机，买游艇，炫富，变得好色，甚至精神空虚去吸毒……所以，如果马斯克在中国，早就移民离开了，否则他所有的高尚品质都会腐烂。
这也是中国没有马斯克这样的人物的原因之一。也就是说，中国有很多成功的企业家，但没有一个能够推动社会进步。曾经说过“银行不换，就换银行”的马云，现在沉默了。
不要低估宏观层面的进步。马斯克对言论自由的纠正有多重要。首先看看世界最近的变化，你会发现特朗普那些年的努力正在被一一实现。比如联合国的改革正在进行中，德国军费的增加已经实现，欧洲对俄罗斯的能源依赖正在减弱，全球供应链的调整也在进行中。
也就是说，这些保守派的想法已经被时间验证是正确的。如果当时特朗普的想法得到重视，混乱的国际局势将被改写，甚至可能避免乌俄战争。这就是言论自由和思想自由的重要性。这是一个国家减少错误的最好办法。
这并不是说保守主义一定是对的，进步主义一定是错的。但两者必须有相互克制和充分讨论的机制，才能出现真相。马斯克现在所做的就是重新平衡两者。事实上，按照马斯克本人的说法，他也是进步阵营的左派，只是极左过于倾斜，让他看起来像右派。
在这方面，中国与美国形成鲜明对比。中国是保守的，完全压制进步主义。相信很多人都会深有体会。即使你不“批评政府”，只是向周围的人表达你的舆论，每个人都会认为你是激进的、异类的。他们会认为你只需要做你自己的事。
总之，时代发展趋势与中国生态背道而驰，差距在拉大。就像诺基亚的塞班系统一样，不能运行IOS智能应用，如果没有有效的改进和升级，迟早会被淘汰。
而且我预计马斯克收购推特应该不会这么简单。他很可能会赋予推特支付功能并使其成为金融服务。那么推特的市值最终可能会达到现在的十倍以上。只要在推特上加入区块链模块，就没有技术难度。他也确实提倡加密货币（例如 Doge）。一旦他真的迈出这一步，将重塑全球金融规则，实现货币非国有化。那么，过去印钱解决经济问题的发展思路就会受阻，所有泡沫经济都将面临挑战。
当时代要抛弃你时，你连招呼都打不过。中国人应该对这句话有深刻的理解。清朝封国数百年。自我隔离所造成的枷锁，摧毁了无数人的生命和整个民族的未来。时代的车轮还在前行，互联网在变化，金融体系在变化，乌俄战争导致国际形势发生变化。此外，制造业正在大规模向东南亚迁移。那么全世界都在逐渐摆脱疫情，而中国的防疫政策似乎依然看不到转机。
中国接下来会发生什么？我想每个人都会有自己的判断。王思聪为何突然挑战权威？我想他也应该对未来有预感和焦虑。就像马斯克决定收购 Twitter 一样。社会精英需要对社会问题和危机有远见和洞察力。底层穷人要保持清醒，明辨是非。对于既得利益者，要求不宜太高，只要不无耻即可。他们没那么无耻，大家可以省去很多不必要的努力。
微笑熊猫 5月1日
原文：
https://medium.com/@qinshihuangwx/why-didnt-musk-appear-in-china-9ba1ad1de2e9
Why
didn’t Musk appear in China
Musk’s acquisition of twitter triggered a
great discussion on freedom of speech. Coincidentally, Wang Sicong, the second
generation of China’s super rich, was blocked by almost the whole network
because of some comments on his microblog. Many people began to tease. Why
didn’t Wang Sicong buy Weibo?
If you can achieve freedom of speech by
buying microblog, freedom is too cheap. I think it should not be difficult for
Chinese people to raise money casually and buy control of microblog. But the
problem is that the speech environment in China is completely different from
that in the United States. The law of the United States stipulates that the
government cannot have media. Therefore, all media and Internet companies are
in the hands of entrepreneurs. That is the “capital” commonly used in China’s
discourse system.
Then, these capital slowly formed a value
alliance and began to clamp down on the voice of conservatives. Therefore,
strictly speaking, what the United States has lost is not freedom of speech,
but freedom of thought. It is the progressive left that suppresses the
conservative right. Now Musk’s purchase of Twitter is tantamount to giving
conservatives a place to express themselves freely on social media, thus
rebalancing the left and right camps.
In China, the situation is completely
different. The voice of the media is almost entirely in the hands of the
government. Social media seems to have absolute control over users’ speech, but
it still serves the government in essence. Therefore, wangsicong was not only
banned on Weibo, but his Tiktok account was also cancelled. It is said that
Wechat moments was also closed, and the whole person disappeared from the
Internet.
But when you look back, he didn’t say
anything too much. Pointing out the data error of CCTV, forwarding and
questioning a traditional Chinese medicine, what crime can you say? If there is
no such basic freedom of expression, people will be afraid. This is also the
reason why so many rich people secretly emigrate and leave China every year.
Public ambition should be the ultimate
ideal of social elites. If a person has achieved great success in his career,
but is not allowed to improve the society, he can only degenerate infinitely in
the abyss of personal desire. Buy planes, buy yachts, show off their wealth,
become lecherous, and even become mentally empty to take drugs… Therefore, if
musk was in China, he would have emigrated and left long ago, otherwise all his
noble qualities would become rotten
This is also one reason why there is no
such figure as Musk in China. In other words, there are many successful
entrepreneurs in China, but none can promote social progress. Ma Yun, who once
said that “if the bank does not change, it will change the bank”, is now
silent.
Don’t underestimate an improvement at the
macro level. How important Musk’s correction of freedom of speech is. First
look at the recent changes in the world, and you will find that Trump’s efforts
in those years are being realized one by one. For example, the reform of the
United Nations is under way, the increase of military spending in Germany has
been realized, the weakening of Europe’s energy dependence on Russia is being
realized, and the adjustment of the global supply chain is also under way.
In other words, the ideas of these
conservatives have been verified to be correct by time. If Trump’s ideas were
valued at that time, the chaotic international situation will be rewritten, and
even the Ukrainian Russian war may be avoided. This is the importance of
freedom of speech and freedom of thought. It is the best way for a country to
reduce mistakes.
This is not to say that conservatives must
be right and progressivism must be wrong. But the two must have a mechanism of
mutual restraint and full discussion in order to appear truth. What musk has
done now is to rebalance the two. In fact, according to musk himself, he is
also the left of the progressive camp, but the extreme left leaning too much makes
him look like the right.
In this regard, China is in stark contrast
to the United States. China is conservative and completely suppresses
progressivism. I believe many people will feel this deeply. Even if you don’t
“criticize the government” and just express your public opinions to the people
around you, everyone will think you are radical and alien. They will think that
you just need to do your own thing.
In short, the development trend of the
times has run counter to China’s ecosystem, and the gap is widening. Just like
Nokia’s Symbian system, which cannot run IOS smart app, it will be eliminated
sooner or later without effective improvement and upgrading.
And I expect Musk’s acquisition of twitter
should not be so simple. He is likely to give twitter payment function and make
it financial. Then the market value of twitter may eventually reach more than
ten times that of now. As long as the blockchain module is added to twitter,
there is no technical difficulty. He also does advocate cryptocurrencies (such
as Doge). Once he does take this step, it will reshape the global financial
rules and realize the non nationalization of currency. Then, the development
idea of printing money to solve economic problems in the past will be blocked,
and all foam economies will face challenges.
When the times want to abandon you, you
can’t even say hello. The Chinese people should have a deep understanding of
this sentence. The Qing Dynasty closed the country for hundreds of years. The
shackles created by self isolation destroyed countless lives and the future of
the whole nation. The wheel of the times is still rolling forward, the Internet
is changing, the financial system is changing, and the Ukrainian Russian war
has led to changes in the international situation. In addition, the
manufacturing industry is migrating to Southeast Asia on a large scale. Then
the whole world is gradually getting rid of the epidemic, and China’s epidemic
prevention policy still seems to see no turnaround.
What will happen next in China? I think
everyone will have their own judgment. Why did Wang Sicong suddenly challenge
the authority? I think he should also have a prediction and anxiety about the
future. Just like musk decided to buy Twitter. A social elite needs to have
foresight and insight into social problems and crises. The poor at the bottom
should remain sober and distinguish right from wrong. As for those with vested
interests, the requirements should not be too high, as long as they are not
shameless. They are less shameless, and everyone can save a lot of unnecessary
efforts.
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